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2026 Critics Choice Awards Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 471 users

Updated: Oct 15, 8:30 PM

Predicted nominees

1

Sinners

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

WIN:85%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%

2

Sentimental Value

Sentimental Value

Joachim Trier, Eskil Vogt

WIN:9%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:98%

3

Marty Supreme

Marty Supreme

Ronald Bronstein, Josh Safdie

WIN:3%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:97%
4%
change over 30 days

4

A House of Dynamite

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:1%
NOM:75%
39%
change over 30 days

5

Jay Kelly

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:0%
NOM:67%

6

Weapons

Weapons

Zach Cregger

WIN:1%
NOM:61%
25%
change over 30 days

Rankings over time

Sinners
Sentimental Value
Marty Supreme
A House of Dynamite
Jay Kelly
Weapons
Rank
1234567Sep 16Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 15
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 14
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 13
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 12
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 11
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 10
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 9
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 8
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 7
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 6
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 5
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 4
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 3
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 2
Sinners
Rank #1 on Oct 1
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 30
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 29
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 28
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 27
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 26
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 25
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 24
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 23
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 22
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 21
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 20
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 19
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 18
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 17
Sinners
Rank #1 on Sep 16
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 15
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 14
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 13
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 12
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 11
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 10
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 9
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 8
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 7
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 6
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 5
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 4
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 3
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 2
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Oct 1
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 30
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 29
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 28
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 27
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 26
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 25
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 24
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 23
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 22
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 21
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 20
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 19
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 18
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 17
Sentimental Value
Rank #2 on Sep 16
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 15
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 14
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 13
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 12
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 11
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 10
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 9
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 8
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 7
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 6
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 5
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 4
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 3
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 2
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Oct 1
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 30
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 29
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 28
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 27
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 26
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 25
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 24
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 23
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 22
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 21
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 20
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 19
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 18
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 17
Marty Supreme
Rank #3 on Sep 16
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 15
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 14
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 13
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 12
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 11
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 10
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 9
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 8
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 7
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 6
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 5
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 4
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 3
A House of Dynamite
Rank #4 on Oct 2
A House of Dynamite
Rank #5 on Oct 1
A House of Dynamite
Rank #5 on Sep 30
A House of Dynamite
Rank #5 on Sep 29
A House of Dynamite
Rank #5 on Sep 28
A House of Dynamite
Rank #5 on Sep 27
A House of Dynamite
Rank #5 on Sep 26
A House of Dynamite
Rank #5 on Sep 25
A House of Dynamite
Rank #6 on Sep 24
A House of Dynamite
Rank #6 on Sep 23
A House of Dynamite
Rank #6 on Sep 22
A House of Dynamite
Rank #6 on Sep 21
A House of Dynamite
Rank #6 on Sep 20
A House of Dynamite
Rank #6 on Sep 19
A House of Dynamite
Rank #6 on Sep 18
A House of Dynamite
Rank #7 on Sep 17
A House of Dynamite
Rank #7 on Sep 16
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 15
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 14
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 13
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 12
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 11
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 10
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 9
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 8
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 7
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 6
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 5
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 4
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 3
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Oct 2
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Oct 1
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 30
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 29
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 28
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 27
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 26
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 25
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 24
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 23
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 22
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 21
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 20
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 19
Jay Kelly
Rank #4 on Sep 18
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Sep 17
Jay Kelly
Rank #5 on Sep 16
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 15
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 14
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 13
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 12
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 11
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 10
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 9
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 8
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 7
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 6
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 5
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 4
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 3
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 2
Weapons
Rank #6 on Oct 1
Weapons
Rank #6 on Sep 30
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 29
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 28
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 27
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 26
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 25
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 24
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 23
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 22
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 21
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 20
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 19
Weapons
Rank #7 on Sep 18
Weapons
Rank #6 on Sep 17
Weapons
Rank #6 on Sep 16
123456

Next in line

7

It Was Just an Accident

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:1%
NOM:45%
12%
change over 30 days

8

Rental Family

Rental Family

HIKARI, Stephen Blahut

WIN:0%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:15%
59%
change over 30 days

9

Is This Thing On?

Is This Thing On?

Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:14%
9%
change over 30 days

10

Sorry, Baby

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:0%
NOM:10%

11

The Testament of Ann Lee

The Testament of Ann Lee

Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
11%
change over 30 days

12

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
1%
change over 30 days

Rankings over time

It Was Just an Accident
Rental Family
Is This Thing On?
Sorry, Baby
The Testament of Ann Lee
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank
4567891011121314Sep 16Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 15
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 14
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 13
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 12
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 11
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 10
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 9
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 8
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 7
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 6
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 5
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 4
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 3
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #7 on Oct 2
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Oct 1
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 30
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 29
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 28
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 27
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 26
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 25
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 24
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 23
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 22
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 21
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 20
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 19
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 18
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 17
It Was Just an Accident
Rank #8 on Sep 16
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 15
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 14
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 13
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 12
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 11
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 10
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 9
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 8
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 7
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 6
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 5
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 4
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 3
Rental Family
Rank #8 on Oct 2
Rental Family
Rank #7 on Oct 1
Rental Family
Rank #7 on Sep 30
Rental Family
Rank #6 on Sep 29
Rental Family
Rank #6 on Sep 28
Rental Family
Rank #6 on Sep 27
Rental Family
Rank #6 on Sep 26
Rental Family
Rank #6 on Sep 25
Rental Family
Rank #5 on Sep 24
Rental Family
Rank #5 on Sep 23
Rental Family
Rank #5 on Sep 22
Rental Family
Rank #5 on Sep 21
Rental Family
Rank #5 on Sep 20
Rental Family
Rank #5 on Sep 19
Rental Family
Rank #5 on Sep 18
Rental Family
Rank #4 on Sep 17
Rental Family
Rank #4 on Sep 16
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 15
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 14
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 13
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 12
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 11
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 10
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 9
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 8
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 7
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 6
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 5
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 4
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 3
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 2
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Oct 1
Is This Thing On?
Rank #9 on Sep 30
Is This Thing On?
Rank #10 on Sep 29
Is This Thing On?
Rank #10 on Sep 28
Is This Thing On?
Rank #10 on Sep 27
Is This Thing On?
Rank #11 on Sep 26
Is This Thing On?
Rank #11 on Sep 25
Is This Thing On?
Rank #11 on Sep 24
Is This Thing On?
Rank #11 on Sep 23
Is This Thing On?
Rank #12 on Sep 22
Is This Thing On?
Rank #12 on Sep 21
Is This Thing On?
Rank #12 on Sep 20
Is This Thing On?
Rank #12 on Sep 19
Is This Thing On?
Rank #12 on Sep 18
Is This Thing On?
Rank #12 on Sep 17
Is This Thing On?
Rank #12 on Sep 16
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 15
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 14
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 13
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 12
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 11
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 10
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 9
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 8
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 7
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 6
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 5
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 4
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 3
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 2
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Oct 1
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Sep 30
Sorry, Baby
Rank #9 on Sep 29
Sorry, Baby
Rank #9 on Sep 28
Sorry, Baby
Rank #9 on Sep 27
Sorry, Baby
Rank #9 on Sep 26
Sorry, Baby
Rank #9 on Sep 25
Sorry, Baby
Rank #9 on Sep 24
Sorry, Baby
Rank #9 on Sep 23
Sorry, Baby
Rank #9 on Sep 22
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Sep 21
Sorry, Baby
Rank #10 on Sep 20
Sorry, Baby
Rank #11 on Sep 19
Sorry, Baby
Rank #11 on Sep 18
Sorry, Baby
Rank #11 on Sep 17
Sorry, Baby
Rank #11 on Sep 16
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 15
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 14
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 13
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 12
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 11
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 10
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 9
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 8
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 7
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 6
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 5
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 4
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 3
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 2
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Oct 1
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Sep 30
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Sep 29
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Sep 28
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #11 on Sep 27
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #10 on Sep 26
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #10 on Sep 25
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #10 on Sep 24
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #10 on Sep 23
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #10 on Sep 22
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #9 on Sep 21
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #9 on Sep 20
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #9 on Sep 19
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #9 on Sep 18
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #9 on Sep 17
The Testament of Ann Lee
Rank #9 on Sep 16
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #12 on Oct 15
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #12 on Oct 14
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #12 on Oct 13
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 12
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 11
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 10
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 9
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 8
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 7
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #14 on Oct 6
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 5
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 4
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 3
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 2
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Oct 1
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 30
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 29
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 28
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 27
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 26
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 25
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 24
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 23
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 22
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 21
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 20
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 19
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 18
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 17
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
Rank #13 on Sep 16
789101112

Dark horses

13

After the Hunt

After the Hunt

Nora Garrett

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
14%
change over 30 days

14

The Secret Agent

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

15

Materialists

Materialists

Celine Song

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

16

Splitsville

Splitsville

Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

17

The Rivals of Amziah King

The Rivals of Amziah King

Andrew Patterson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

18

Warfare

Warfare

Alex Garland, Ray Mendoza

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

19

Black Bag

Black Bag

David Koepp

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

20

Father Mother Sister Brother

Father Mother Sister Brother

Jim Jarmusch

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

21

The Phoenician Scheme

The Phoenician Scheme

Wes Anderson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

22

The Voice of Hind Rajab

The Voice of Hind Rajab

Kaouther Ben Hania

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

23

F1

F1

Ehren Kruger

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

24

My Dead Friend Zoe

My Dead Friend Zoe

A.J. Bermudez, Kyle Hausmann-Stokes

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

25

A Private Life

A Private Life

Anne Berest, Gaëlle Macé

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

26

Coutures

Coutures

Alice Winocour

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

27

The Smashing Machine

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
1%
change over 30 days

28

Ella McCay

Ella McCay

James L. Brooks

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

29

Blue Moon

Blue Moon

Robert Kaplow

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

30

Anemone

Anemone

Daniel Day-Lewis, Ronan Day-Lewis

WIN:0%
NOM:0%