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2026 DGA Predictions: Best Directing: First-Time Film

Aggregated predictions from 392 users

Updated: Oct 15, 6:30 PM

Predicted nominees

1

Sorry, Baby

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:86%
5%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%

2

Urchin

Urchin

Harris Dickinson

WIN:4%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:86%
4%
change over 30 days

3

Anemone

Anemone

Ronan Day-Lewis

WIN:7%
5%
change over 30 days
NOM:74%
9%
change over 30 days

4

Sound of Falling

Sound of Falling

Mascha Schilinski

WIN:1%
NOM:66%
4%
change over 30 days

5

The Chronology of Water

The Chronology of Water

Kristen Stewart

WIN:1%
NOM:51%
2%
change over 30 days

Rankings over time

Sorry, Baby
Urchin
Anemone
Sound of Falling
The Chronology of Water
Rank
12345Sep 16Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 15
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 14
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 13
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 12
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 11
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 10
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 9
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 8
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 7
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 6
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 5
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 4
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 3
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 2
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Oct 1
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 30
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 29
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 28
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 27
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 26
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 25
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 24
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 23
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 22
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 21
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 20
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 19
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 18
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 17
Sorry, Baby
Rank #1 on Sep 16
Urchin
Rank #2 on Oct 15
Urchin
Rank #2 on Oct 14
Urchin
Rank #2 on Oct 13
Urchin
Rank #2 on Oct 12
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 11
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 10
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 9
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 8
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 7
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 6
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 5
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 4
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 3
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 2
Urchin
Rank #3 on Oct 1
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 30
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 29
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 28
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 27
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 26
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 25
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 24
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 23
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 22
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 21
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 20
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 19
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 18
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 17
Urchin
Rank #3 on Sep 16
Anemone
Rank #3 on Oct 15
Anemone
Rank #3 on Oct 14
Anemone
Rank #3 on Oct 13
Anemone
Rank #3 on Oct 12
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 11
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 10
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 9
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 8
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 7
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 6
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 5
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 4
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 3
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 2
Anemone
Rank #2 on Oct 1
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 30
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 29
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 28
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 27
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 26
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 25
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 24
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 23
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 22
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 21
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 20
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 19
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 18
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 17
Anemone
Rank #2 on Sep 16
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 15
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 14
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 13
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 12
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 11
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 10
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 9
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 8
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 7
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 6
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 5
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 4
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 3
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 2
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Oct 1
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 30
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 29
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 28
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 27
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 26
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 25
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 24
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 23
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 22
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 21
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 20
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 19
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 18
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 17
Sound of Falling
Rank #4 on Sep 16
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 15
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 14
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 13
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 12
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 11
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 10
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 9
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 8
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 7
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 6
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 5
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 4
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 3
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 2
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Oct 1
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 30
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 29
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 28
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 27
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 26
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 25
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 24
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 23
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 22
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 21
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 20
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 19
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 18
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 17
The Chronology of Water
Rank #5 on Sep 16
12345

Next in line

6

Pillion

Pillion

Harry Lighton

WIN:0%
NOM:27%
7%
change over 30 days

7

Eleanor the Great

Eleanor the Great

Scarlett Johansson

WIN:0%
NOM:24%
5%
change over 30 days

8

The President's Cake

The President's Cake

Hasan Hadi

WIN:0%
NOM:19%
7%
change over 30 days

9

My Father's Shadow

My Father's Shadow

Akinola Davies Jr.

WIN:0%
NOM:11%
6%
change over 30 days

10

Omaha

Omaha

Cole Webley

WIN:0%
NOM:6%
6%
change over 30 days

Rankings over time

Pillion
Eleanor the Great
The President's Cake
My Father's Shadow
Omaha
Rank
67891011Sep 16Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15
Pillion
Rank #6 on Oct 15
Pillion
Rank #6 on Oct 14
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 13
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 12
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 11
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 10
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 9
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 8
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 7
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 6
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 5
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 4
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 3
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 2
Pillion
Rank #7 on Oct 1
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 30
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 29
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 28
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 27
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 26
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 25
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 24
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 23
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 22
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 21
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 20
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 19
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 18
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 17
Pillion
Rank #7 on Sep 16
Eleanor the Great
Rank #7 on Oct 15
Eleanor the Great
Rank #7 on Oct 14
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 13
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 12
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 11
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 10
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 9
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 8
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 7
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 6
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 5
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 4
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 3
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 2
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Oct 1
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 30
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 29
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 28
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 27
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 26
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 25
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 24
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 23
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 22
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 21
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 20
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 19
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 18
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 17
Eleanor the Great
Rank #6 on Sep 16
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 15
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 14
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 13
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 12
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 11
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 10
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 9
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 8
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 7
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 6
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 5
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 4
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 3
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 2
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Oct 1
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 30
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 29
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 28
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 27
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 26
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 25
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 24
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 23
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 22
The President's Cake
Rank #8 on Sep 21
The President's Cake
Rank #9 on Sep 20
The President's Cake
Rank #9 on Sep 19
The President's Cake
Rank #9 on Sep 18
The President's Cake
Rank #9 on Sep 17
The President's Cake
Rank #9 on Sep 16
My Father's Shadow
Rank #9 on Oct 15
My Father's Shadow
Rank #9 on Oct 14
My Father's Shadow
Rank #9 on Oct 13
My Father's Shadow
Rank #9 on Oct 12
My Father's Shadow
Rank #9 on Oct 11
My Father's Shadow
Rank #9 on Oct 10
My Father's Shadow
Rank #9 on Oct 9
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Oct 8
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Oct 7
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Oct 6
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Oct 5
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Oct 4
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Oct 3
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Oct 2
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Oct 1
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Sep 30
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Sep 29
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 28
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Sep 27
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 26
My Father's Shadow
Rank #10 on Sep 25
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 24
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 23
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 22
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 21
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 20
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 19
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 18
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 17
My Father's Shadow
Rank #11 on Sep 16
Omaha
Rank #10 on Oct 15
Omaha
Rank #10 on Oct 14
Omaha
Rank #10 on Oct 13
Omaha
Rank #10 on Oct 12
Omaha
Rank #10 on Oct 11
Omaha
Rank #10 on Oct 10
Omaha
Rank #10 on Oct 9
Omaha
Rank #9 on Oct 8
Omaha
Rank #9 on Oct 7
Omaha
Rank #9 on Oct 6
Omaha
Rank #9 on Oct 5
Omaha
Rank #9 on Oct 4
Omaha
Rank #9 on Oct 3
Omaha
Rank #9 on Oct 2
Omaha
Rank #9 on Oct 1
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 30
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 29
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 28
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 27
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 26
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 25
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 24
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 23
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 22
Omaha
Rank #9 on Sep 21
Omaha
Rank #8 on Sep 20
Omaha
Rank #8 on Sep 19
Omaha
Rank #8 on Sep 18
Omaha
Rank #8 on Sep 17
Omaha
Rank #8 on Sep 16
678910

Dark horses

11

Together

Together

Michael Shanks

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
1%
change over 30 days

12

Warfare

Warfare

Ray Mendoza, Alex Garland

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
3%
change over 30 days

13

Preparation for the Next Life

Preparation for the Next Life

Bing Liu

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
1%
change over 30 days

14

Tuner

Tuner

Daniel Roher

WIN:0%
NOM:2%

15

Blue Heron

Blue Heron

Sophy Romvari

WIN:0%
NOM:2%

16

Good Boy

Good Boy

Ben Leonberg

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

17

One of Them Days

One of Them Days

Lawrence Lamont

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

18

Rosemead

Rosemead

Eric Lin

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

19

The Legend of Ochi

The Legend of Ochi

Isaiah Saxon

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

20

Friendship

Friendship

Andrew DeYoung

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

21

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

22

The Plague

The Plague

Charlie Polinger

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

23

Left-Handed Girl

Left-Handed Girl

Shih-Ching Tsou

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

24

The Ugly Stepsister

The Ugly Stepsister

Emilie Blichfeldt

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

25

Poetic License

Poetic License

Maude Apatow

WIN:0%
NOM:0%