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2026 Oscars Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 3,872 users

Updated: Oct 15, 10:29 PM

Predicted nominees

1

One Battle After Another

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:76%
40%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
5%
change over 30 days

2

Hamnet

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell

WIN:21%
33%
change over 30 days
NOM:96%
2%
change over 30 days

3

Bugonia

Bugonia

Will Tracy

WIN:1%
5%
change over 30 days
NOM:78%

4

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Rian Johnson

WIN:0%
NOM:73%
1%
change over 30 days

5

No Other Choice

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:0%
NOM:69%
12%
change over 30 days

Rankings over time

One Battle After Another
Hamnet
Bugonia
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
No Other Choice
Rank
12345Sep 16Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 15
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 14
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 13
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 12
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 11
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 10
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 9
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 8
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 7
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 6
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 5
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 4
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 3
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 2
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Oct 1
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 30
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 29
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 28
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 27
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 26
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 25
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 24
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 23
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 22
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 21
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 20
One Battle After Another
Rank #1 on Sep 19
One Battle After Another
Rank #2 on Sep 18
One Battle After Another
Rank #2 on Sep 17
One Battle After Another
Rank #2 on Sep 16
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 15
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 14
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 13
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 12
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 11
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 10
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 9
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 8
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 7
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 6
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 5
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 4
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 3
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 2
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Oct 1
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 30
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 29
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 28
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 27
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 26
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 25
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 24
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 23
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 22
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 21
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 20
Hamnet
Rank #2 on Sep 19
Hamnet
Rank #1 on Sep 18
Hamnet
Rank #1 on Sep 17
Hamnet
Rank #1 on Sep 16
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 15
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 14
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 13
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 12
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 11
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 10
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 9
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 8
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 7
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 6
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 5
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 4
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 3
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 2
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Oct 1
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 30
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 29
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 28
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 27
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 26
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 25
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 24
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 23
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 22
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 21
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 20
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 19
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 18
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 17
Bugonia
Rank #3 on Sep 16
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 15
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 14
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 13
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 12
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 11
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 10
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 9
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 8
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 7
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 6
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 5
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 4
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 3
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 2
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Oct 1
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 30
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 29
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 28
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 27
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 26
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 25
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 24
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 23
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 22
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 21
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 20
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 19
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 18
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 17
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Rank #4 on Sep 16
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 15
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 14
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 13
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 12
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 11
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 10
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 9
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 8
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 7
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 6
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 5
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 4
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 3
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 2
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Oct 1
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 30
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 29
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 28
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 27
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 26
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 25
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 24
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 23
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 22
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 21
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 20
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 19
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 18
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 17
No Other Choice
Rank #5 on Sep 16
12345

Next in line

6

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Scott Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:25%
22%
change over 30 days

7

Frankenstein

Frankenstein

Guillermo del Toro

WIN:0%
NOM:18%
2%
change over 30 days

8

Wicked: For Good

Wicked: For Good

Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox

WIN:0%
NOM:10%
3%
change over 30 days

9

Train Dreams

Train Dreams

Greg Kwedar, Clint Bentley

WIN:0%
NOM:6%
3%
change over 30 days

10

The Life of Chuck

The Life of Chuck

Mike Flanagan

WIN:0%
NOM:3%

Rankings over time

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Frankenstein
Wicked: For Good
Train Dreams
The Life of Chuck
Rank
67891011Sep 16Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 15
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 14
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 13
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 12
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 11
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 10
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 9
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 8
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 7
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 6
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 5
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 4
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 3
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 2
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Oct 1
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 30
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 29
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 28
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 27
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 26
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 25
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 24
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 23
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 22
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 21
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 20
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 19
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 18
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 17
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Rank #6 on Sep 16
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 15
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 14
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 13
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 12
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 11
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 10
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 9
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 8
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 7
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 6
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 5
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 4
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 3
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 2
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Oct 1
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 30
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 29
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 28
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 27
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 26
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 25
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 24
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 23
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 22
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 21
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 20
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 19
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 18
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 17
Frankenstein
Rank #7 on Sep 16
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 15
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 14
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 13
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 12
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 11
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 10
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 9
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 8
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 7
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 6
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 5
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 4
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 3
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 2
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Oct 1
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 30
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 29
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 28
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 27
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 26
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 25
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 24
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 23
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 22
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 21
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 20
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 19
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 18
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 17
Wicked: For Good
Rank #8 on Sep 16
Train Dreams
Rank #9 on Oct 15
Train Dreams
Rank #9 on Oct 14
Train Dreams
Rank #9 on Oct 13
Train Dreams
Rank #9 on Oct 12
Train Dreams
Rank #9 on Oct 11
Train Dreams
Rank #9 on Oct 10
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Oct 9
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Oct 8
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Oct 7
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Oct 6
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Oct 5
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Oct 4
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Oct 3
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Oct 2
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Oct 1
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Sep 30
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Sep 29
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Sep 28
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Sep 27
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Sep 26
Train Dreams
Rank #10 on Sep 25
Train Dreams
Rank #11 on Sep 24
Train Dreams
Rank #11 on Sep 23
Train Dreams
Rank #11 on Sep 22
Train Dreams
Rank #11 on Sep 21
Train Dreams
Rank #11 on Sep 20
Train Dreams
Rank #11 on Sep 19
Train Dreams
Rank #11 on Sep 18
Train Dreams
Rank #11 on Sep 17
Train Dreams
Rank #11 on Sep 16
The Life of Chuck
Rank #10 on Oct 15
The Life of Chuck
Rank #10 on Oct 14
The Life of Chuck
Rank #10 on Oct 13
The Life of Chuck
Rank #10 on Oct 12
The Life of Chuck
Rank #10 on Oct 11
The Life of Chuck
Rank #10 on Oct 10
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Oct 9
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Oct 8
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Oct 7
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Oct 6
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Oct 5
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Oct 4
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Oct 3
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Oct 2
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Oct 1
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 30
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 29
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 28
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 27
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 26
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 25
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 24
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 23
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 22
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 21
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 20
The Life of Chuck
Rank #9 on Sep 19
The Life of Chuck
Rank #10 on Sep 18
The Life of Chuck
Rank #10 on Sep 17
The Life of Chuck
Rank #10 on Sep 16
678910

Dark horses

11

The Smashing Machine

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
2%
change over 30 days

12

Ballad of a Small Player

Ballad of a Small Player

Rowan Joffé

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
3%
change over 30 days

13

Die My Love

Die My Love

Enda Walsh, Lynne Ramsay, Alice Birch

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

14

Nuremberg

Nuremberg

James Vanderbilt

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

15

The Long Walk

The Long Walk

JT Mollner

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

16

Mickey 17

Mickey 17

Bong Joon Ho

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

17

Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie

Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie

Matt Johnson, Jay McCarrol

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

18

Song Sung Blue

Song Sung Blue

Craig Brewer

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

19

Highest 2 Lowest

Highest 2 Lowest

Alan Fox

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

20

The Secret Agent

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

21

Superman

Superman

James Gunn

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

22

Hedda

Hedda

Nia DaCosta

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

23

Kiss of the Spider Woman

Kiss of the Spider Woman

Bill Condon

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

24

The Roses

The Roses

Tony McNamara

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

25

The History of Sound

The History of Sound

Ben Shattuck

WIN:0%
NOM:0%