Award Expert

2026 Independent Spirit Awards Predictions in Every Category

Aggregated predictions from 652 users

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Which films lead the nomination predictions?

1

Sorry, BabyA24
NOMS:7
WINS:3

1

Feature

1

First Screenplay

1

First Feature

2

Supporting Performance

2

Screenplay

3

Lead Performance

5

Breakthrough Performance

6

Director

7

Editing

2

If I Had Legs I'd Kick YouA24
NOMS:7
WINS:3

1

Lead Performance

1

Screenplay

1

Editing

2

Feature

2

Director

3

Cinematography

6

Supporting Performance

3

Sentimental ValueNeon
NOMS:7
WINS:2

1

International

3

Screenplay

5

Feature

5

Supporting Performance

7

Lead Performance

7

Director

4

Train DreamsNetflix
NOMS:5
WINS:1

1

Cinematography

3

Feature

4

Director

4

Editing

6

Lead Performance

6

Screenplay

15

Supporting Performance

5

The Testament of Ann LeeSearchlight
NOMS:5
WINS:1

1

Director

2

Lead Performance

2

Cinematography

3

Editing

4

Feature

6

TwinlessRoadside Attractions and Lionsgate
NOMS:4
WINS:0

5

Screenplay

6

Feature

8

Lead Performance

9

Supporting Performance

6

First Feature

10

Editing

7

Die My LoveMubi
NOMS:4
WINS:0

4

Lead Performance

4

Cinematography

5

Director

10

Supporting Performance

8

Editing

12

Feature

8

Blue MoonSony Pictures Classics
NOMS:3
WINS:0

2

First Screenplay

5

Lead Performance

7

Feature

9

Screenplay

20

Supporting Performance

9

SplitsvilleNeon
NOMS:3
WINS:0

4

Screenplay

5

Cinematography

8

Supporting Performance

9

Feature

10

Director

14

Lead Performance

10

It Was Just an AccidentNeon
NOMS:2
WINS:0

2

International

3

Director

7

Screenplay

10

Feature

11

The Life of ChuckNeon
NOMS:2
WINS:0

2

Editing

3

Breakthrough Performance

8

Screenplay

12

Supporting Performance

12

The PlagueMubi
NOMS:2
WINS:0

2

First Feature

4

First Screenplay

8

Breakthrough Performance

17

Lead Performance

13

No Other ChoiceNeon
NOMS:2
WINS:0

4

International

5

Editing

8

Cinematography

18

Lead Performance

14

The Secret AgentNeon
NOMS:2
WINS:0

3

International

10

Lead Performance

15

PillionA24
NOMS:2
WINS:0

3

First Screenplay

4

First Feature

13

Supporting Performance

16

Urchin
NOMS:2
WINS:0

3

First Feature

5

First Screenplay

19

Lead Performance

17

Kiss of the Spider WomanLionsgate
NOMS:2
WINS:0

2

Breakthrough Performance

7

Supporting Performance