Award Expert

2026 Independent Spirit Awards Predictions: Best Feature

Aggregated predictions from 652 users

Updated: Nov 8, 2:30 AM
Sorry, Baby
1

Sorry, Baby

A24

WIN:57%
NOM:92%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

A24

WIN:14%
NOM:94%
Train Dreams
3

Train Dreams

Netflix

WIN:10%
NOM:88%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4

The Testament of Ann Lee

Searchlight

WIN:2%
NOM:75%
Sentimental Value
5

Sentimental Value

Neon

WIN:6%
NOM:60%
Twinless
6

Twinless

Roadside Attractions and Lionsgate

WIN:0%
NOM:45%
Blue Moon
7

Blue Moon

Sony Pictures Classics

WIN:0%
NOM:31%
Hamnet
8

Hamnet

Focus Features

WIN:8%
NOM:23%
Splitsville
9

Splitsville

Neon

WIN:2%
NOM:10%
It Was Just an Accident
10

It Was Just an Accident

Neon

WIN:0%
NOM:12%
The Mastermind
11

The Mastermind

Mubi

WIN:0%
NOM:12%
Die My Love
12

Die My Love

Mubi

WIN:0%
NOM:6%
Pillion
13

Pillion

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
The Life of Chuck
14

The Life of Chuck

Neon

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
On Becoming a Guinea Fowl
15

On Becoming a Guinea Fowl

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
The Plague
16

The Plague

Mubi

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
Urchin
17

Urchin

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
No Other Choice
18

No Other Choice

Neon

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
The Secret Agent
19

The Secret Agent

Neon

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Highest 2 Lowest
20

Highest 2 Lowest

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Omaha
21

Omaha

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Roofman
22

Roofman

Paramount

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Bugonia
23

Bugonia

Focus Features

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
24

Father Mother Sister Brother

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Rebuilding
25

Rebuilding

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Blue Heron
26

Blue Heron

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Is This Thing On?
27

Is This Thing On?

Searchlight

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Materialists
28

Materialists

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nouvelle Vague
29

Nouvelle Vague

Netflix

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Lurker
30

Lurker

Mubi

WIN:0%
NOM:0%